OK. So for the next few weeks, the bubble watch is going to be presented without comment, as Chris Thomas’ encompassing who still has a chance at an at-large bid based on past selections goes over a hundred teams for the first two RPI reports, and even I’m not that much of a masochist.
“Locks” are teams denoted to be safely in the field if trends in past years hold up. “Bubble” teams are still in the running for at-large bids if past trends hold up. “Bubble (Danger)” teams are currently ranked in a position that would see them drop from next week’s watch.
As always, past trends do not indicate future selections, so take this with a grain of salt.
America East
-Bubble: Stony Brook
AAC
-Bubble: UCF, Rutgers, UConn, Louisville, South Florida, Memphis, SMU, Cincinnati
Atlantic 10
-Bubble: La Salle, VCU, Dayton
-Bubble (Danger): UMass
ACC
-Lock: Virginia, North Carolina, Florida State, Wake Forest
-Bubble: Everyone Else
Atlantic Sun
-Bubble: Florida Gulf Coast
-Bubble (Danger): Jacksonville, Kennesaw State
Big XII
-Bubble: Everyone
Big East
-Lock: Georgetown
-Bubble: Marquette, Saint John’s (NY), DePaul, Xavier, Seton Hall, Villanova, Creighton, Butler
-Bubble (Danger): Providence
Big Sky
-Bubble: Weber State, Northern Colorado
-Bubble (Danger): Portland State
Big South
-Bubble: Liberty
-Bubble (Danger): Radford, High Point
Big Ten
-Lock: Penn State
-Bubble: Nebraska, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana, Illinois, Ohio State, Michigan State, Purdue, Iowa
Big West
-Bubble: Long Beach State, UC Irvine, Cal State Fullerton, Hawaii, Cal State Northridge
Colonial
-Bubble: William & Mary, James Madison, Delaware, Hofstra
-Bubble (Danger): Drexel
Conference USA
-Bubble: Colorado College, Marshall, Tulsa, North Texas, UTEP, UAB, Middle Tennessee State, Charlotte
-Bubble (Danger): East Carolina
Horizon
-Bubble: Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Ivy
-Bubble: Brown, Princeton, Yale, Cornell
MAAC
-Bubble: Monmouth
-Bubble (Danger): Fairfield
MAC
-Bubble: Eastern Michigan
Missouri Valley
-Bubble: Illinois State
-Bubble (Danger): Loyola (Ill.)
Mountain West
-Bubble: Utah State, Boise State, UNLV, San Diego State
Ohio Valley
-Bubble: Austin Peay
Pac-12
-Lock: Stanford, UCLA
-Bubble: Colorado, Washington State, Arizona State, Cal, Utah, Arizona, Oregon, Washington, USC
-Bubble (Danger): Oregon State
Patriot
-Bubble: Boston University, Navy, Colgate
-Bubble (Danger): Army
SEC
-Lock: South Carolina
-Bubble: Georgia, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Missouri
-Bubble (Danger): Vanderbilt
Southern
-Bubble: Samford, Furman, UNC Greensboro, Elon
-Bubble (Danger): Western Carolina, Appalachian State
Southland
-Bubble: Stephen F. Austin, Oral Roberts
-Bubble (Danger): Nicholls State
Summit
-Lock: Denver
Sun Belt
-Bubble: Western Kentucky
WCC
-Bubble: Santa Clara, Portland, BYU, Pepperdine, San Diego, San Francisco
-Bubble (Danger): Saint Mary’s (CA)
WAC
-Bubble: Seattle