NCAA – 2017 Season “Five Factors” Scoring Rankings

For the past years, I’ve published “four factors” rankings looking at top scorers in NCAA Division I, providing an easy reference for goals vs RPI Top 50 & 100 teams, as well as shots per goal and shots on target %. This year, I’ve added in a “fifth” factor, with shots on goal per goal as well.

A reminder that to be eligible for this list, a player has to have scored ten non-penalty goals in 2017 which cuts off a few big prospects from this ranking (McCaskill and Abam most notably). Penalties and penalty attempts don’t count towards the efficiency numbers calculated.

While you can get a glimpse of the full rankings in the attached PDF, here are the rankings of those who have currently declared for the NWSL Draft (out of 72):

#70 – Sophie Cortes – UNLV
#65 – Harriet Withers – Murray State
#63 – Macy Hamblin – Northern Kentucky
#61 – Chloe Williams – Eastern Washington
#57 – Rio Hardy – South Alabama
#51 – Jermaine Seoposenwe – Samford
#49 – Martha Thomas – Charlotte
#48 – Savannah LaRicci – McNeese State
#41 – Alexis Kiehl – Dayton
#36 – Ariela Lewis – Alabama State
#35 – Kendall Ham – Bucknell
#27 – Maddy Williams – Purdue
#18 – Imani Dorsey – Duke
#10 – Morgan Ferrara – UCF
#3 – Kayla Adamek – UCF

And here’s the Top Eight overall:

#1 – Tziarra King – NC State
#2 – Abby Givens – Princeton
#3 – Kayla Adamek – UCF
#4 – Kelsey Turnbow – Santa Clara
#5 – Kayla McCoy – Duke
#6 – Deyna Castellanos – Florida State
#7 – CeCe Kizer – Ole Miss
#8 – Sydney Squires – Minnesota

I wouldn’t use these as any type of “definitive” ranking, as you’ll find some superstars like Catarina Macario some ways down the order in these. But I still think it’s valuable data that can be used as a part of analysis for scouts, coaches, fans, etc. PDF of full rankings is 2017ncaafivefactors. Players highlighted in green are declared for the 2018 NWSL Draft.

The WoSo Independent Podcast – Episode #34 – Two Ends of The Table: NWSL Dr. Offseason (North Carolina + Washington)

It’s more NWSL offseason talk on episode #34 of the WoSo Independent Podcast. In this edition, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) examine two more teams heading into the heart of the offseason. First they look at the defending regular season champion North Carolina Courage (1:48). Can they go a third straight season with either a NWSL title or Supporter’s Shield? Where might they be vulnerable? Afterward, they head to the opposite end of the table to discuss the Washington Spirit (32:00). How much will bringing in Andi Sullivan in the draft cure the ills that plagued them last year? Just how much work needs to be done on defense? And are the offensive pieces they have a good fit together? Finally, they spend a minute or two talking about new Sky Blue FC signing Thaisa Moreno (59:35).

The WoSo Independent Podcast – Episode #33 – The Insomniac: College Cup Final Review + Dr. Offseason (Salt Lake & Houston)

It’s episode #33 of the WoSo Independent Podcast, featuring a brief review of the College Cup final and where this year’s Stanford team ranks in the history of women’s college soccer (0:37). Then, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) close out the college season by giving their picks for the Hermann Trophy (11:30). They then delve into the NWSL postseason, first talking about the newly christened Salt Lake Royals (22:50) and manager Laura Harvey, who faces a big task to meet big expectations. Finally, they finish with talks about another club with a new manager, the Houston Dash (51:15).

NCAA – 2017 WTSR Worksheet

A while back, I came up with the concept of Weighted Total Shot Ratio (WTSR), explained a little bit here and here. I tweeted out some numbers from early conference tournaments before getting overwhelmed, but I finished getting all of the data into my spreadsheet and am posting here in case some of the stat nerds are interested.

A few notes:

1. This covers conference matches only, as comparing otherwise is almost impossible thanks to differing strengths of schedule.

2. I wasn’t able to find data for a small group of schools, which is why some cells are empty on the spreadsheet. Blame the shoddy stat tracking.

3. Apparently, I can’t upload spreadsheet files due to WordPress security, so a PDF is here:

2017ncaawtsr.

The WoSo Independent Podcast – Episode #32 – Countdown Complete + Dr. Offseason (Sky Blue FC)

In episode #32 of the WoSo Independent Podcast, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) discuss the top senior prospects for January’s NWSL Draft that will be playing at this weekend’s College Cup in Orlando (6:30). They then give quick picks for the College Cup (49:00). Finally, they continue with Dr. Offseason in the NWSL (54:20), discussing where Sky Blue FC and new manager Denise Reddy are heading into the 2018 season.

The WoSo Independent Podcast – Episode #31 – NCAA Tournament Review + Dr. Offseason (Portland)

Chris and Jon return for Episode #31 of the WoSo Independent Podcast. They start off by talking about the College Cup to this point and discuss the four quarterfinals and who they favor in each (1:50). Afterward, they begin the much vaunted DR. OFFSEASON discussion by talking about the reigning NWSL champion Portland Thorns (25:59). How will the club cope with the offseason losses of Nadia Nadim & Amandine Henry? Where might be a priority to fill with the club’s two first round picks in January’s draft?

NCAA – 2017 NCAA Tournament Second Round Time Chart

All matches to take place on Friday. All times listed are EST.

2:00 PM – Tennessee vs Washington State
2:30 PM – (4) Princeton vs NC State
3:00 PM – Santa Clara vs Vanderbilt
4:00 PM – (3) Penn State vs Wake Forest
4:30 PM – (3) USC vs Baylor
5:00 PM – (1) North Carolina vs Colorado
5:00 PM – (4) Texas vs Clemson
6:00 PM – (1) South Carolina vs Wisconsin
6:00 PM – (3) Florida vs South Florida
7:00 PM – (2) West Virginia vs Rutgers
7:30 PM – (1) Duke vs Oklahoma State
7:30 PM – (4) Florida State vs Arizona
8:00 PM – (3) Virginia vs Pepperdine
8:30 PM – (2) Texas A&M vs Notre Dame
10:00 PM – (1) Stanford vs Auburn
11:00 PM – (2) UCLA vs Northwestern

The WoSo Independent Podcast – Episode #30 – A Bad Weekend in Orlando

Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) return for Episode #30 of the WoSo Independent Podcast and discuss the NWSL final in detail including the refereeing debacle. They bridge into a brief discussion on the USWNT call-up of McCall Zerboni, while Chris gives a name of a collegian he’d like to see tried out at full-back. They then discuss the calamitous NWSL final in terms of business, with disappointing live attendance and the abysmal television ratings and where that puts the league heading into 2018 and beyond. There’s talk of the league’s continued lack of a commissioner, and then some chatter about what Chris & Jon would like to see heading into next year out of the league.

NCAA – Round One Time/Day Chart

All times listed are EST. Numbers in brackets are RPI rank.

Friday

6:00 PM – (1) South Carolina [3] vs Alabama State [238]
6:00 PM – (3) Florida [19] vs South Alabama [59]
6:00 PM – (4) Ohio State [17] vs Vanderbilt [40]
6:00 PM – (4) Texas [12] vs North Texas [65]
6:00 PM – Auburn [27] vs Hofstra [22]
7:00 PM – (4) Princeton [9] vs Monmouth [37]
7:00 PM – (4) Florida State [16] vs Ole Miss [41]
7:00 PM – Clemson [38] vs Alabama [28]
7:00 PM – Wake Forest [43] vs Georgetown [24]
7:30 PM – (3) Penn State [10] vs Stony Brook [159]
8:00 PM – Baylor [34] vs Rice [36]
8:00 PM – Wisconsin [29] vs Toledo [124]
8:30 PM – (2) Texas A&M [6] vs Lamar [72]
9:00 PM – Arizona [26] vs TCU [46]
10:00 PM – (2) UCLA [8] vs San Diego State [80]

Saturday

1:00 PM – (1) North Carolina [2] vs High Point [98]
1:00 PM – (2) West Virginia [7] vs Bucknell [81]
1:00 PM – NC State [30] vs Arkansas [42]
1:00 PM – Oklahoma State [32] vs Missouri State [118]
1:00 PM – South Florida [15] vs Florida Gulf Coast [35]
3:00 PM – (3) USC [18] vs Eastern Washington [87]
4:00 PM – Pepperdine [13] vs Cal State Fullerton [94]
4:30 PM – Cal [25] vs Santa Clara [31]
5:00 PM – Rutgers [11] vs La Salle [47]
5:00 PM – Tennessee [20] vs Murray State [21]
7:00 PM – (1) Duke [4] vs UNC Greensboro [104]
7:00 PM – (2) UCF [5] vs Washington State [49]
7:00 PM – (3) Virginia [23] vs Saint Francis (PA) [177]
7:00 PM – Notre Dame [14] vs IUPUI [123]
10:00 PM – (1) Stanford [1] vs Utah Valley [213]

Sunday

2:00 PM – Colorado [44] vs Denver [225]
2:00 PM – Northwestern [33] vs Butler [45]