NCAA – Chris’ Bracketology v7.5

I’ve added a few more models that rely on big wins only and keep draws out of the equation. Next update will be the final field projection Sunday evening.

Who the bracket models agree on:

America East – Stony Brook*
AAC – [2] UCF*, South Florida, Cincinnati
Atlantic 10 – La Salle*
ACC – [1] Duke*, [2] North Carolina, [4] Virginia, [4] Notre Dame, Florida State, NC State, Wake Forest
Atlantic Sun – Lipscomb*
Big 12 – [3] West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, TCU*
Big East – Georgetown*, Butler
Big Sky – Eastern Washington*
Big South – High Point*
Big Ten – [2] Penn State, [3] Ohio State, [4] Rutgers, Wisconsin, Northwestern*, Minnesota
Big West – Cal State Northridge*
CAA – Hofstra*
Conference USA – North Texas*
Horizon – Milwaukee*
Ivy – Princeton, Columbia*
MAAC – Monmouth*
MAC – Toledo*
MVC – Missouri State*
Mountain West – San Diego State*
NEC – Fairleigh Dickinson*
OVC – Murray State*
Pac-12 – [1] Stanford*, [2] UCLA, [3] USC, Arizona, Cal, Washington State
Patriot – Navy*
SEC – [1] South Carolina, [2] Texas A&M*, [3] Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
SoCon – UNC Greensboro*
Southland – Lamar*
SWAC – Alabama State*
Summit – Denver*
Sun Belt – South Alabama*
WCC – [4] Pepperdine*
WAC – Utah Valley*

Chris’ Bubble Breakdown

IN (all models)

Northwestern (if needed), Oklahoma State, Vanderbilt (if TCU & Northwestern win auto bids, in three models otherwise), Baylor, Arkansas, Butler, Wake Forest, Minnesota, Washington State, Cincinnati

IN (two models of four)

Santa Clara, Clemson (also potentially in all four models depending on auto bids), Florida Gulf Coast (potentially just one model depending on auto bids), TCU, Virginia Tech

OUT (all models)

Rice, Monmouth (if they didn’t have MAAC auto bid), Ole Miss, Colorado, Mississippi State, Memphis, Boston College, Northeastern, Marquette, La Salle, LSU, San Jose State

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