NCAA – Chris’ Final 2017 NCAA Tournament Field Projection

(Mock bracket to come later. With seeds.)

America East (1) – Stony Brook*
AAC (3) – UCF, South Florida*, Cincinnati
Atlantic 10 (1) – La Salle*
ACC (8) – North Carolina*, Duke, Notre Dame, Florida State, Virginia, NC State, Clemson, Wake Forest
Atlantic Sun (1) – Florida Gulf Coast*
Big 12 (5) – West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma State, Baylor*, TCU
Big East (2) – Georgetown*, Butler
Big Sky (1) – Eastern Washington*
Big South (1) – High Point*
Big Ten (6) – Penn State*, Rutgers, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Minnesota
Big West (1) – Cal State Fullerton*
Colonial (1) – Hofstra*
Conference USA (1) – North Texas*
Horizon (1) – IUPUI*
Ivy (1) – Princeton*
MAAC (1) – Monmouth*
MAC (1) – Toledo*
MVC (1) – Missouri State*
Mountain West (1) – San Diego State*
NEC (1) – Saint Francis (PA)*
OVC (1) – Murray State*
Pac-12 (7) – Stanford*, UCLA, USC, Cal, Arizona, Colorado, Washington State
Patriot (1) – Bucknell*
SEC (8) – South Carolina, Texas A&M*, Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
SoCon (1) – UNC Greensboro*
Southland (1) – Lamar*
SWAC (1) – Alabama State*
Summit (1) – Denver*
Sun Belt (1) – South Alabama*
WCC (2) – Pepperdine*, Santa Clara
WAC (1) – Utah Valley*

OUT (In order that I believe they’re out…)

Ole Miss – Above Colorado in terms of results against RPI Top 50 teams but don’t have head-to-head advantages against bubble rivals other than Memphis. Also could get dinged for very poor finish (one win in last eight)

Memphis – H2H loss with Ole Miss. Only RPI Top 50 win is against Rice, who is also out.

Mississippi State – No RPI Top 50 wins is pretty much an automatic disqualified. Bad loss at home against Kentucky. No head-to-head advantages against bubble rivals.

Saint Louis – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. Otherwise, I think they’d have a real shot with wins over likely tournament teams Vanderbilt and Murray State.

Virginia Tech – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. Good win at Notre Dame, draw vs Pepperdine. League position is lower than anyone with at-large bid in the past.

Rice – No RPI Top 50 wins despite draw with Baylor and strong RPI rank.

Boston College – Not enough RPI Top 50 wins (just one vs #43 Wake Forest) Lose H2H against bubble rival Vanderbilt, draw with bubble rival Virginia Tech.

Northeastern – H2H loss to Boston College. H2H win at TCU but doesn’t have enough in terms of RPI Top 50 results.

LSU – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. No RPI Top 50 wins.

Marquette – No positive RPI Top 50 results.

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