It’s more NWSL offseason talk on episode #34 of the WoSo Independent Podcast. In this edition, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) examine two more teams heading into the heart of the offseason. First they look at the defending regular season champion North Carolina Courage (1:48). Can they go a third straight season with either a NWSL title or Supporter’s Shield? Where might they be vulnerable? Afterward, they head to the opposite end of the table to discuss the Washington Spirit (32:00). How much will bringing in Andi Sullivan in the draft cure the ills that plagued them last year? Just how much work needs to be done on defense? And are the offensive pieces they have a good fit together? Finally, they spend a minute or two talking about new Sky Blue FC signing Thaisa Moreno (59:35).
It’s episode #33 of the WoSo Independent Podcast, featuring a brief review of the College Cup final and where this year’s Stanford team ranks in the history of women’s college soccer (0:37). Then, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) close out the college season by giving their picks for the Hermann Trophy (11:30). They then delve into the NWSL postseason, first talking about the newly christened Salt Lake Royals (22:50) and manager Laura Harvey, who faces a big task to meet big expectations. Finally, they finish with talks about another club with a new manager, the Houston Dash (51:15).
A while back, I came up with the concept of Weighted Total Shot Ratio (WTSR), explained a little bit here and here. I tweeted out some numbers from early conference tournaments before getting overwhelmed, but I finished getting all of the data into my spreadsheet and am posting here in case some of the stat nerds are interested.
A few notes:
1. This covers conference matches only, as comparing otherwise is almost impossible thanks to differing strengths of schedule.
2. I wasn’t able to find data for a small group of schools, which is why some cells are empty on the spreadsheet. Blame the shoddy stat tracking.
3. Apparently, I can’t upload spreadsheet files due to WordPress security, so a PDF is here:
In episode #32 of the WoSo Independent Podcast, Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) discuss the top senior prospects for January’s NWSL Draft that will be playing at this weekend’s College Cup in Orlando (6:30). They then give quick picks for the College Cup (49:00). Finally, they continue with Dr. Offseason in the NWSL (54:20), discussing where Sky Blue FC and new manager Denise Reddy are heading into the 2018 season.
Chris and Jon return for Episode #31 of the WoSo Independent Podcast. They start off by talking about the College Cup to this point and discuss the four quarterfinals and who they favor in each (1:50). Afterward, they begin the much vaunted DR. OFFSEASON discussion by talking about the reigning NWSL champion Portland Thorns (25:59). How will the club cope with the offseason losses of Nadia Nadim & Amandine Henry? Where might be a priority to fill with the club’s two first round picks in January’s draft?
All matches to take place on Friday. All times listed are EST.
2:00 PM – Tennessee vs Washington State
2:30 PM – (4) Princeton vs NC State
3:00 PM – Santa Clara vs Vanderbilt
4:00 PM – (3) Penn State vs Wake Forest
4:30 PM – (3) USC vs Baylor
5:00 PM – (1) North Carolina vs Colorado
5:00 PM – (4) Texas vs Clemson
6:00 PM – (1) South Carolina vs Wisconsin
6:00 PM – (3) Florida vs South Florida
7:00 PM – (2) West Virginia vs Rutgers
7:30 PM – (1) Duke vs Oklahoma State
7:30 PM – (4) Florida State vs Arizona
8:00 PM – (3) Virginia vs Pepperdine
8:30 PM – (2) Texas A&M vs Notre Dame
10:00 PM – (1) Stanford vs Auburn
11:00 PM – (2) UCLA vs Northwestern
Chris (@chris_awk) and Jon (@jonlipsitz) return for Episode #30 of the WoSo Independent Podcast and discuss the NWSL final in detail including the refereeing debacle. They bridge into a brief discussion on the USWNT call-up of McCall Zerboni, while Chris gives a name of a collegian he’d like to see tried out at full-back. They then discuss the calamitous NWSL final in terms of business, with disappointing live attendance and the abysmal television ratings and where that puts the league heading into 2018 and beyond. There’s talk of the league’s continued lack of a commissioner, and then some chatter about what Chris & Jon would like to see heading into next year out of the league.
All times listed are EST. Numbers in brackets are RPI rank.
6:00 PM – (1) South Carolina  vs Alabama State 
6:00 PM – (3) Florida  vs South Alabama 
6:00 PM – (4) Ohio State  vs Vanderbilt 
6:00 PM – (4) Texas  vs North Texas 
6:00 PM – Auburn  vs Hofstra 
7:00 PM – (4) Princeton  vs Monmouth 
7:00 PM – (4) Florida State  vs Ole Miss 
7:00 PM – Clemson  vs Alabama 
7:00 PM – Wake Forest  vs Georgetown 
7:30 PM – (3) Penn State  vs Stony Brook 
8:00 PM – Baylor  vs Rice 
8:00 PM – Wisconsin  vs Toledo 
8:30 PM – (2) Texas A&M  vs Lamar 
9:00 PM – Arizona  vs TCU 
10:00 PM – (2) UCLA  vs San Diego State 
1:00 PM – (1) North Carolina  vs High Point 
1:00 PM – (2) West Virginia  vs Bucknell 
1:00 PM – NC State  vs Arkansas 
1:00 PM – Oklahoma State  vs Missouri State 
1:00 PM – South Florida  vs Florida Gulf Coast 
3:00 PM – (3) USC  vs Eastern Washington 
4:00 PM – Pepperdine  vs Cal State Fullerton 
4:30 PM – Cal  vs Santa Clara 
5:00 PM – Rutgers  vs La Salle 
5:00 PM – Tennessee  vs Murray State 
7:00 PM – (1) Duke  vs UNC Greensboro 
7:00 PM – (2) UCF  vs Washington State 
7:00 PM – (3) Virginia  vs Saint Francis (PA) 
7:00 PM – Notre Dame  vs IUPUI 
10:00 PM – (1) Stanford  vs Utah Valley 
2:00 PM – Colorado  vs Denver 
2:00 PM – Northwestern  vs Butler 
I went full cheapskate mode (i.e. NCAA travel practices) with this bracket in all but a few places (see Butler not hosting Indiana in round one). Palo Alto Quadrant winner plays College Station Quadrant winner in Final Four, while Chapel Hill Quadrant winner does the same with Durham Quadrant winner.
Palo Alto Quadrant
 Stanford vs Utah Valley
Wisconsin vs Butler
 Pepperdine vs Arizona
Oklahoma State vs Arkansas
 UCLA vs San Diego State
Notre Dame vs Northwestern
 Ohio State vs Toledo
Cal vs Santa Clara
College Station Quadrant
 Texas A&M vs Lamar
Colorado vs Denver
 USC vs Cal State Fullerton
Texas vs North Texas
 UCF vs Alabama State
Alabama vs Baylor
 Florida vs South Alabama
Florida State vs Minnesota
Chapel Hill Quadrant
 North Carolina vs UNC Greensboro
Washington State vs Eastern Washington
 South Florida vs Florida Gulf Coast
Georgetown vs Wake Forest
 Penn State vs Bucknell
Princeton vs La Salle
 West Virginia vs Saint Francis (PA)
Hofstra vs Monmouth
 Duke vs High Point
Auburn vs TCU
 Virginia vs IUPUI
Murray State vs Vanderbilt
 South Carolina vs Missouri State
NC State vs Cincinnati
 Rutgers vs Stony Brook
Tennessee vs Clemson
(Mock bracket to come later. With seeds.)
America East (1) – Stony Brook*
AAC (3) – UCF, South Florida*, Cincinnati
Atlantic 10 (1) – La Salle*
ACC (8) – North Carolina*, Duke, Notre Dame, Florida State, Virginia, NC State, Clemson, Wake Forest
Atlantic Sun (1) – Florida Gulf Coast*
Big 12 (5) – West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma State, Baylor*, TCU
Big East (2) – Georgetown*, Butler
Big Sky (1) – Eastern Washington*
Big South (1) – High Point*
Big Ten (6) – Penn State*, Rutgers, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Minnesota
Big West (1) – Cal State Fullerton*
Colonial (1) – Hofstra*
Conference USA (1) – North Texas*
Horizon (1) – IUPUI*
Ivy (1) – Princeton*
MAAC (1) – Monmouth*
MAC (1) – Toledo*
MVC (1) – Missouri State*
Mountain West (1) – San Diego State*
NEC (1) – Saint Francis (PA)*
OVC (1) – Murray State*
Pac-12 (7) – Stanford*, UCLA, USC, Cal, Arizona, Colorado, Washington State
Patriot (1) – Bucknell*
SEC (8) – South Carolina, Texas A&M*, Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
SoCon (1) – UNC Greensboro*
Southland (1) – Lamar*
SWAC (1) – Alabama State*
Summit (1) – Denver*
Sun Belt (1) – South Alabama*
WCC (2) – Pepperdine*, Santa Clara
WAC (1) – Utah Valley*
OUT (In order that I believe they’re out…)
Ole Miss – Above Colorado in terms of results against RPI Top 50 teams but don’t have head-to-head advantages against bubble rivals other than Memphis. Also could get dinged for very poor finish (one win in last eight)
Memphis – H2H loss with Ole Miss. Only RPI Top 50 win is against Rice, who is also out.
Mississippi State – No RPI Top 50 wins is pretty much an automatic disqualified. Bad loss at home against Kentucky. No head-to-head advantages against bubble rivals.
Saint Louis – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. Otherwise, I think they’d have a real shot with wins over likely tournament teams Vanderbilt and Murray State.
Virginia Tech – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. Good win at Notre Dame, draw vs Pepperdine. League position is lower than anyone with at-large bid in the past.
Rice – No RPI Top 50 wins despite draw with Baylor and strong RPI rank.
Boston College – Not enough RPI Top 50 wins (just one vs #43 Wake Forest) Lose H2H against bubble rival Vanderbilt, draw with bubble rival Virginia Tech.
Northeastern – H2H loss to Boston College. H2H win at TCU but doesn’t have enough in terms of RPI Top 50 results.
LSU – RPI value (not rank) is lower than anyone who has gained an at-large bid. No RPI Top 50 wins.
Marquette – No positive RPI Top 50 results.